Regarding Nomar Mazara & Ian Happ – 2019 Fantasy Baseball

Nomar Mazara

  • Not quite a polarizing player, but certainly a fantasy target for a large portion of the fantasy community. It feels like the rest of the fantasy baseball owners out there are just not fans of Mazara and leave it at that.
  • While age is on Mazara’s side the skill growth has been non-existent. I’d be willing to buy into the theory that young players can “pop” at any time, however, in the case of Mazara I don’t see a single leading indicator that change is coming.
  • Specifically, the fact that Mazara is still terrible against left-handed pitching has me less than optimistic that his overall 2019 line will improve much from his 2018 season.
  • Stephen Piscotty is being selected 10 picksĀ after Mazara in the #2earlymocks. Buy! Buy! Buy! on Piscotty at that price and pass on Mazara.

Ian Happ

  • Min pick of 22nd overall in a 2018 NFBC Draft.
  • Happ is clearly missing contact ability. Last season many saw his 65% contact rate and figured with growth it should settle somewhere in the 70-75% range. One thing to consider always is the fact that 65% contact is actually pretty bad. When a player displays such lack of a skill, even in only half a season of at-bats, it’s important to weigh the downside properly. While it’s easy to dream of a 23-year-old bumping his contact rate up seven percent year-over-year, it should be equally weighed against the fact that a seven percent decrease is also well within the expected range of outcomes.
  • The power and speed skills are both slightly above average for Happ. Improving his platoon split and making better contact will be the skills to monitor as we move forward.
  • ADP of 176 in the #2EarlyMocks. Willy Adames is also being selected in this area. While I believe Adames could also have a disappointing second season much the way Happ did, I also see more playing time available for Adames, making him my selection in this range.
Photo Credit: Keith Allison